Tus nqi ntawm rov qab nyob rau hauv cov nqe lus ntawm nce nqi

Yog muaj lus nug nce nqi yog dav tseem ceeb ntau yam ntawm lub xeev cov tsev kawm, los ntawm cov xov xwm, xaus rau tsoom fwv thiab ntau yam tshuaj ntsuam. Tab sis qhov no yog kev lom zem ntau theoretical lus, aimed ntawm kev daws cov kev teeb meem ntawm tej pab pawg neeg ntawm cov neeg. Ntau tiag qhov teeb meem ntawm tib yam cov pej xeem xav tsis nyob rau hauv macroeconomic lus thiab nyob rau hauv txhua hnub, peb yuav hais txhua txhua hnub. Nws tsis txaj muag deb ntawm qhov teeb meem thiab cov neeg sawv cev ntawm cov me me thiab medium lag luam. Yog li ntawd yog dab tsi, nyob rau hauv qhov tseeb, tus nqi ntawm kev khwv nyiaj txiag yog tseem ceeb heev, vim hais tias feem ntau cov neeg paub nce nqi tsuas yog raws li ib yam ntawm cov nqi nce?

Kev ntsuam xyuas ntawm inflationary cov miv nyuas

Qhov tseeb hais tias yuav nce nqi yog lom zem ntau tau cuam tshuam xws li ib tug duab raws li tus nqi ntawm rov qab. Peb pib nrog lub fact tias nyob rau hauv lub ntsiab lus teb ntawm nce nqi tus nqi txoj cai ntawm tej enterprise yuav tsis yuav kwv yees tsis tau noj mus rau hauv tus account inflationary kev ntshaw, nyob rau hauv lwm yam lus, tsis muaj ib tug txaus kev ntsuam xyuas ntawm tau nqi hloov, ob qho tib si nyob rau hauv kev ua lag luam ntawm cov kev pab cuam los yog cov khoom, tab sis kuj nyob rau hauv lub raw khoom ua lag luam, Cheebtsam, thiab lwm yam .d. Tshwj xeeb tshaj yog nyuaj yog npaj nyiaj txiag profitability nyob rau hauv lub thiaj li hu ua tsis ruaj tsis khov nce nqi, uas hloov tsis yooj yim rau koj twv seb. Thiab yog hais tias nyob rau hauv lub luv luv-term forecast tej yam kev mob, qhov teeb meem no yuav daws tau nrog ntau dua cov neeg shares nyob rau hauv lub sij hawm ntev kom tau qhov tseeb tshwm sim yog heev yooj yim - tus nqi ntawm rov qab yuav luag unpredictable. Nyob rau hauv thiaj li yuav kom ntsuam xyuas lub nce nqi kev ntshaw nyob rau hauv lub cheeb tsam ntawm pricing zoo ntawm lub tuam txhab los yog lwm yam ua lag ua luam qhov chaw nws yog advisable siv cov thiaj li hu ua nqi indices. Cov indices yog npaum li cas nyob rau hauv cov kev sib raug zoo thiab nyiaj txiag suav, raws li zoo raws li nyob rau hauv txoj kev xyaum ntawm cov statistical kev tshawb fawb.

nce nqi muab xam

Nyob rau hauv kev xyaum, muab xam rau ntawm nce nqi kev ntshaw muaj tsib yooj yim cov kauj ruam. Firstly, cov nyiaj txiag profitability nyob rau hauv lub neej yav tom ntej nyob rau hauv qhov tseeb thiab ua kom tiav specification ntawm cov nqi zog, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog cov uas muaj kev kawm mus rau twv ua ntej. Nws tseem yog tsim nyog los mus txiav txim rau lub sij hawm thiab lub sij twv ua ntej, xws li ntev, luv luv los yog nruab nrab. Yog hais tias lub profitability ntawm qhia nyob rau ib yam luv forecasting inefficiency ntawm ntau lawm, nws yog tsim nyog los ua ib tug xov tooj ntawm cov kev hloov nyob rau hauv lub lag luam txoj kev npaj rau enterprise. Secondly, nws yog tsim nyog rau kev tsom xam zoo zoo heev yog dab tsi ntsia zoo li tus nqi ntawm rov qab rau lub yav dhau los lub sij hawm, raws li tau zoo raws li tag nrho cov analytical tsis muaj nce nqi, mus txog yam uas tau tshwm sim los nws. Thirdly, nws yog tsim nyog los paub thiab coj mus rau hauv kev saib xyuas tag nrho cov yam tseem ceeb uas yuav pab rau yav tom ntej tus nqi ntawm nce nqi raws li cov feem pua tej yam. Tom ntej no los ncaj qha rau xam uas tau nce nqi. Thiab lub xeem theem - lub probabilistic kev ntsuam xyuas ntawm tag nrho cov tau xaiv rau cov kev teeb meem ntawm txoj kev loj hlob - los ntawm phem heev rau, ntsig txog, upbeat.

Nce nqi yeej - inevitable txheej txheem nyob rau hauv tej zej zog. Nws tsuas proves cai txhua lub sij hawm tus nqi ntawm cov nyiaj. Qhov no txhais tau tias tus nqi qub ntawm cov nyiaj yog ntau nqi niaj hnub no tshaj tag kis, los yog, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog, hnub tom qab tag kis. Nws li nram no tias yog hais tias ib tug kev enterprise profitability qhia tau hais tias cov uas tsis muaj kev loj hlob nqi nyob rau hauv lub neej yav tom ntej, lub ntau lawm efficiency yuav tsis kam vim yog lub luv nqi ntawm cov cuab tam. Raws li ib tug xaus, tus nqi ntawm profitability ntawm tej lag luam yuav tsum tau npaj noj rau hauv tus account tag nrho cov tau txaus ntshai, nrog rau kev noj mus rau hauv tus account tus nqi ntawm nce nqi, raws li zoo raws li nws cov hom phiaj kev qhia. Nws yog ib nqi nco ntsoov tias qhov tseeb muab xam los ntawm nce nqi kev ntshaw tej zaum yuav tso cai rau ib tug ntau dua degree ntawm txaus twv ntxiv nqi txoj cai.